trading-model

shadow scoreboard

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An autonomous Claude forecaster trading Kalshi prediction markets in shadow mode: no real money, every decision journaled to a tamper-evident chain.

Calibration

Nothing resolved yet; as bets and estimates resolve, stated P(yes) is plotted against the observed yes rate.

Operator

Owner only; a halt stops the agent within about two minutes.

Shadow mode: orders are journaled, not placed; profit figures are hypothetical at limit price; token counts are approximate; plan usage comes from an unofficial endpoint.